No clear lean · Research notes

Over 3.5

2/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Under 3.5

3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Historical workload

Previous five: 5.2 → latest five: 4.4 targets/game. Change: -15.4%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026. Workload includes games for SF and WAS; team changes may affect usage.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	3.5	-137	-110
FD ↗	3.5	-130	-102
Novig ↗	3.5	-113	+100
HRB	3.5	-120	-110
CZR ↗	3.5	-121	-104
DK	3.5	-103	-124
PIN	3.5	-135	+102
B365	3.5	-141	+110
FAN	3.5	-120	-120
MGM ↗	3.5	-118	-111
PP ↗	3.5	DFS projection · pick’em

Rec / game4.7

Targets17

Target share16%

Catch %82%

Season 2026: 14 rec · 185 yds · red-zone targets 5 (24% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	DEN	6	5	26	1
2026 · W3	ARI	0	0	80	1
2026 · W2	MIA	4	3	31	0
2026 · W1	LA	7	6	48	1
2025 · W18	PHI	5	2	20	0
2025 · W17	DAL	4	2	68	0
2025 · W16	PHI	4	3	35	0
2025 · W15	NYG	5	3	43	0
2025 · W14	MIN	6	4	27	0
2025 · W13	DEN	7	5	64	0