Over lean · Research notes

Recent results

5/5 over 11.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

8/10 over 11.5; 0 pushes. L10 supports L5. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

3 quoted books: 11.5–12.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 4 → latest five: 7.8 opportunities/game. Change: +95%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-04	DAL	26	5	3
2026-09-27	IND	28	6	3
2026-09-20	CIN	18	9	3
2026-09-13	BUF	20	6	3
2026-01-18 PO	NE	23	13	4
2026-01-13 PO	PIT	16	4	2
2026-01-04	IND	33	9	5
2025-12-27	LAC	11	3	2
2025-12-21	LV	4	2	1
2025-12-14	ARI	16	2	1

Compare books

fanduel · Over 11.5 (-122)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 11.5 (-125)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 12.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

draftkings · Under 12.5 (-113)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 11.5 (-105)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 11.5 (-108)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET