No clear lean · Research notes

Over 15.5

3/5 recent hits; 4/6 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 15.5

2/5 recent hits; 2/6 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Latest five: 1.8 opportunities/game. 6/10 qualifying games available; two complete five-game windows are needed for a workload change.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-04	BUF	23	4	2
2026-09-27	JAX	1	2	1
2026-09-20	PIT	-2	1	1
2026-01-12 PO	LAC	20	1	1
2026-01-04	MIA	35	1	1
2025-12-28	NYJ	30	2	2

fanduel · Over 15.5 (-114)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 15.5 (-121)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

draftkings · Under 15.5 (-107)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

fanduel · Under 15.5 (-114)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

No clear lean · Research notes

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