No clear lean · Research notes

Over 2.5

2/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 2.5

3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 3 → latest five: 3 targets/game. Change: 0%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus2.5+120-160
FD ↗2.5+120-160
Novig ↗2.5+133-138
CZR ↗2.5+122-159
DK2.5+126-162
HRB2.5+120-160
B3652.5+125—
FAN2.5+125-185
PIN2.5+122-163
MGM ↗2.5+105-140
Rec / game2.3
Targets13
Target share9%
Catch %69%
Season 2026: 9 rec · 119 yds · red-zone targets 2 (12% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4CLE53271
2026 · W3CIN43670
2026 · W2NE2170
2026 · W1ATL22180
2025 · W17CLE22150
2025 · W16DET43360
2025 · W15MIA43250
2025 · W14BAL11120
2025 · W13BUF42450
2025 · W12CHI22220