No clear lean · Research notes

Over 15.5

2/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 15.5

3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 3.6 → latest five: 3.4 targets/game. Change: -5.6%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	15.5	-115	-115
B365	15.5	-116	-116
FD ↗	15.5	-114	-114
HRB	15.5	-115	-115
Novig ↗	15.5	-111	-111
CZR	15.5	-117	-113
FAN	15.5	-115	-125
DK	15.5	-116	-108
PIN	15.5	-114	-114
PP ↗	15.5	DFS projection · pick’em

Targets15

Target share12%

Catch %67%

Yds / rec6.9

Season 2026: 10 rec · 69 yds · red-zone targets 1 (7% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	WAS	4	1	2	2
2026 · W3	HOU	3	2	4	0
2026 · W2	KC	4	4	40	2
2026 · W1	BAL	4	3	23	2
2025 · W18	HOU	2	2	13	0
2025 · W17	JAX	6	3	14	1
2025 · W16	SF	3	3	33	1
2025 · W15	SEA	4	3	14	0
2025 · W14	JAX	0	0	0	1
2025 · W13	HOU	5	3	36	0