No clear lean · Research notes

Over 17.5

3/5 recent hits; 3/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 17.5

2/5 recent hits; 7/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 5.6 → latest five: 7.4 opportunities/game. Change: +32.1%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-06	ATL	18	9	6
2026-09-27	LV	17	6	3
2026-09-20	BAL	29	7	5
2026-09-13	DET	31	9	7
2025-12-14	CAR	17	6	5
2025-12-07	TB	16	5	3
2025-11-30	MIA	15	8	8
2025-11-23	ATL	14	7	3
2025-11-09	CAR	15	3	1
2025-10-26	TB	10	5	1

Compare books

hardrockbet · Over 17.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 17.5 (-113)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

fanduel · Over 17.5 (-118)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Over 17.5 (-118)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 17.5 (-112)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Under 17.5 (-113)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 17.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 17.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET