No clear lean · Research notes

Over 4.5

3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 5.5

2/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 0.6 → latest five: 1.6 targets/game. Change: +166.7%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus4.5-118-105
B3655.5-116-116
FD ↗4.5-114-114
HRB4.5-120-110
CZR4.5-115-113
DK4.5-119-105
Novig ↗4.5-113-111
PP ↗4.5DFS projection · pick’em
Targets7
Target share7%
Catch %100%
Yds / rec6.3
Season 2026: 7 rec · 44 yds · red-zone targets 0 (0% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4TEN2261
2026 · W3DAL1102
2026 · W2NO33191
2026 · W1IND11193
2025 · W18PIT1000
2025 · W17GB0004
2025 · W16NE0002
2025 · W15CIN0000
2025 · W14PIT2180
2025 · W13CIN11441