No clear lean · Research notes

Over 75.5

2/5 recent hits; 3/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 77.5

3/5 recent hits; 7/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 6.4 → latest five: 6.6 targets/game. Change: +3.1%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	76.5	-114	-110
DK	77.5	-114	-110
FAN	75.5	-125	-120
CZR	76.5	-117	-113

Targets17

Target share17%

Catch %77%

Yds / rec13.8

Season 2026: 13 rec · 179 yds · red-zone targets 4 (33% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W3	TB	2	2	32	0
2026 · W2	CHI	6	3	55	0
2026 · W1	GB	9	8	92	2
2025 · W18	GB	11	8	101	0
2025 · W17	DET	5	4	30	0
2025 · W16	NYG	8	6	85	0
2025 · W15	DAL	8	2	22	0
2025 · W14	WAS	4	2	11	0
2025 · W13	SEA	6	2	4	0
2025 · W12	GB	6	4	48	0