No clear lean · Research notes

Over 0.5

3/5 recent hits; 8/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 6.2 → latest five: 2.4 targets/game. Change: -61.3%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	0.5	—	—
B365	0.5	-132	—
Underdog ↗	1.5	DFS projection · pick’em

Rec / game0.7

Targets6

Target share5%

Catch %33%

Season 2026: 2 rec · 20 yds · red-zone targets 1 (7% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	ARI	1	1	11	1
2026 · W2	LA	4	0	0	0
2026 · W1	DAL	1	1	9	0
2025 · W16	MIN	2	0	0	0
2025 · W15	WAS	4	3	72	0
2025 · W13	NE	8	3	29	0
2025 · W12	DET	5	3	77	0
2025 · W11	GB	4	3	36	0
2025 · W10	CHI	8	7	75	0
2025 · W9	SF	6	3	27	1