No clear lean · Research notes

Over 1.5

3/5 recent hits; 3/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 1.5

2/5 recent hits; 7/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 0.6 → latest five: 1.4 targets/game. Change: +133.3%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus1.5-115-115
FD ↗1.5-114-114
Novig ↗1.5-108-104
HRB1.5-115-115
CZR ↗1.5-110-118
DK ↗1.5-107-119
B3651.5-120—
PIN1.5-114-114
FAN1.5-115-125
MGM ↗1.5-115-115
PP ↗1.5DFS projection · pick’em
Underdog ↗1.5DFS projection · pick’em
Rec / game1.8
Targets7
Target share7%
Catch %100%
Season 2026: 7 rec · 54 yds · red-zone targets 1 (6% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4CIN22180
2026 · W3NE22171
2026 · W2DEN22-31
2026 · W1CLE11220
2025 · W18TEN0001
2025 · W15NYJ11161
2025 · W14IND0000
2025 · W13TEN1121
2025 · W12ARI1000
2025 · W11LAC0001