No clear lean · Research notes

Over 8.5

3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Under 8.5

2/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Historical workload

Previous five: 2.6 → latest five: 1.8 targets/game. Change: -30.8%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	8.5	—	—
B365	8.5	-116	-116
Underdog ↗	19.5	DFS projection · pick’em
PP ↗	8.5	DFS projection · pick’em

Targets5

Target share3%

Catch %100%

Yds / rec7.8

Season 2026: 5 rec · 39 yds · red-zone targets 1 (4% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	NYG	2	2	19	1
2026 · W3	SF	3	3	20	0
2026 · W2	SEA	0	0	0	0
2025 · W18	LA	3	3	28	0
2025 · W17	CIN	1	0	0	0
2025 · W16	ATL	8	7	91	0
2025 · W15	HOU	2	1	3	0
2025 · W14	LA	1	1	0	0
2025 · W13	TB	2	2	17	0
2025 · W12	JAX	0	0	0	0