Over lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 over 10.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

8/10 over 10.5; 0 pushes. L10 supports L5. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

3 quoted books: 10.5–11.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 4 → latest five: 4.2 opportunities/game. Change: +5%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

GameOpponentLongestTargetsCatches
2026-10-02PIT1733
2026-09-20TB010
2026-09-13JAX2042
2026-01-04CIN1162
2025-12-28PIT1575
2025-12-21BUF743
2025-12-14CHI1442
2025-12-07TEN6053
2025-11-30SF1143
2025-11-23LV3931

Compare books

fanduel · Over 10.5 (-125)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 11.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 11.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 11.5 (-112)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 11.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 10.5 (-106)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET