No clear lean · Research notes

Over 5.5

2/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 5.5

3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 0.8 → latest five: 1.4 targets/game. Change: +75%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	5.5	—	—
B365	5.5	-116	-116
PP ↗	4.5	DFS projection · pick’em

Targets6

Target share4%

Catch %67%

Yds / rec3.8

Season 2026: 4 rec · 15 yds · red-zone targets 1 (4% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	ATL	3	2	10	0
2026 · W3	LV	3	2	5	0
2026 · W1	DET	0	0	0	1
2025 · W7	CHI	0	0	0	0
2025 · W6	NE	1	1	11	0
2025 · W5	NYG	1	1	8	0
2025 · W4	BUF	0	0	0	1
2025 · W3	SEA	2	2	9	0
2025 · W2	SF	1	1	2	0
2025 · W1	ARI	0	0	0	0