No clear lean · Research notes

Over 5.5

2/5 recent hits; 2/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 5.5

3/5 recent hits; 8/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 6 → latest five: 7 targets/game. Change: +16.7%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	5.5	+120	-160
B365	5.5	+110	—
FD ↗	5.5	+124	-166
Novig ↗	5.5	+141	-150
HRB	5.5	+120	-160
CZR ↗	5.5	+126	-175
DK	5.5	+121	-154
FAN	5.5	+130	-205
MGM ↗	5.5	+115	-155
PIN	5.5	+112	-149

Rec / game5.8

Targets27

Target share22%

Catch %85%

Season 2026: 23 rec · 130 yds · red-zone targets 3 (21% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	WAS	5	5	41	0
2026 · W3	HOU	10	9	55	0
2026 · W2	KC	7	6	21	1
2026 · W1	BAL	5	3	13	1
2025 · W18	HOU	8	5	26	0
2025 · W17	JAX	5	5	43	0
2025 · W16	SF	9	3	30	0
2025 · W15	SEA	6	3	19	0
2025 · W14	JAX	6	2	15	0
2025 · W13	HOU	4	3	22	1