No clear lean · Research notes

Over 1.5

3/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 1.5

2/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 2.2 → latest five: 4.2 targets/game. Change: +90.9%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026. Workload includes games for ATL and PHI; team changes may affect usage.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	1.5	-142	+111
FD ↗	1.5	-162	+122
Novig ↗	1.5	-138	+122
HRB	1.5	-155	+120
B365	1.5	-161	—
CZR ↗	1.5	-148	+114
DK	1.5	-142	+111
PIN	1.5	-156	+117
MGM ↗	1.5	-140	+105
FAN	1.5	-155	+100

Rec / game1.5

Targets13

Target share14%

Catch %46%

Season 2026: 6 rec · 95 yds · red-zone targets 0 (0% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	NO	3	2	54	1
2026 · W3	GB	3	1	11	0
2026 · W2	CAR	4	2	11	0
2026 · W1	PIT	3	1	19	0
2025 · W18	WAS	8	3	40	0
2025 · W17	BUF	1	0	0	0
2025 · W16	WAS	3	3	13	0
2025 · W14	LAC	3	1	3	0
2025 · W13	CHI	3	1	12	0
2025 · W12	DAL	1	0	0	0