No clear lean · Research notes

Over 3.5

3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Under 3.5

2/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Historical workload

Previous five: 1.2 → latest five: 1 targets/game. Change: -16.7%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	3.5	—	—
B365	3.5	-116	-116
Underdog ↗	9.5	DFS projection · pick’em
PP ↗	3.5	DFS projection · pick’em

Targets4

Target share3%

Catch %75%

Yds / rec5.3

Season 2026: 3 rec · 16 yds · red-zone targets 0 (0% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	SF	2	2	12	0
2026 · W3	LA	2	1	4	0
2026 · W2	JAX	0	0	0	0
2026 · W1	KC	0	0	0	0
2025 · W10	LV	1	1	7	0
2025 · W9	HOU	1	1	-2	0
2025 · W8	DAL	2	2	10	0
2025 · W7	NYG	1	1	-1	0
2025 · W6	NYJ	1	0	0	0
2025 · W5	PHI	1	1	5	1