Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 under 2.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

7/10 under 2.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

6 quoted books: 1.5–2.5. Selected threshold is better than the median quoted line.

Historical workload

Previous five: 3.8 → latest five: 2.8 targets/game. Change: -26.3%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L10 is mixed: 7/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	1.5	-175	+130
B365	1.5	-182	—
FD ↗	1.5	-182	+136
HRB	1.5	-175	+130
Novig ↗	1.5	-153	+138
DK	1.5	-179	+140
CZR ↗	2.5	+165	-225
PIN	1.5	-182	+136
Underdog ↗	2.5	DFS projection · pick’em

Rec / game1.7

Targets7

Target share7%

Catch %71%

Season 2026: 5 rec · 40 yds · red-zone targets 0 (0% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	BAL	1	1	-1	0
2026 · W3	NYG	0	0	0	0
2026 · W2	PHI	2	2	29	0
2026 · W1	NYJ	4	2	12	0
2025 · W18	JAX	7	7	9	0
2025 · W17	NO	2	1	-1	0
2025 · W16	KC	5	5	53	1
2025 · W15	SF	2	2	2	0
2025 · W14	CLE	4	2	28	0
2025 · W13	JAX	6	6	25	0