No clear lean · Research notes

Over 2.5

2/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 2.5

3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 3.4 → latest five: 3.6 targets/game. Change: +5.9%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	2.5	+126	-161
B365	2.5	+140	—
FD ↗	2.5	+132	-178
Novig ↗	2.5	+153	-170
HRB	2.5	+130	-175
CZR ↗	2.5	+127	-170
DK	2.5	+126	-161
MGM ↗	2.5	+135	-185
FAN	2.5	+130	-195
PIN	2.5	+132	-178

Rec / game2.3

Targets17

Target share11%

Catch %53%

Season 2026: 9 rec · 187 yds · red-zone targets 3 (9% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	CAR	8	4	95	0
2026 · W3	NYJ	3	3	66	0
2026 · W2	BUF	5	2	26	0
2026 · W1	NO	1	0	0	0
2025 · W18	CHI	1	1	18	0
2025 · W17	MIN	4	3	49	1
2025 · W16	PIT	7	4	52	1
2025 · W15	LA	1	0	0	0
2025 · W14	DAL	3	2	20	1
2025 · W13	GB	2	2	35	1