No clear lean · Research notes

Over 1.5

3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 1.5

2/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 1.2 → latest five: 1.6 targets/game. Change: +33.3%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026. Workload includes games for HOU and DET; team changes may affect usage.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	1.5	+115	-145
FD ↗	1.5	+110	-146
Novig ↗	1.5	+115	-138
CZR ↗	1.5	+111	-145
DK	1.5	+110	-141
B365	1.5	+110	—
MGM ↗	1.5	+120	-160
PIN	1.5	+110	-146
HRB	1.5	+115	-145
FAN	1.5	+110	-165

Rec / game2.3

Targets7

Target share5%

Catch %100%

Season 2026: 7 rec · 67 yds · red-zone targets 1 (7% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	DAL	0	0	19	0
2026 · W3	IND	2	2	15	0
2026 · W2	CIN	2	2	14	0
2026 · W1	BUF	3	3	19	3
2025 · W18	CHI	1	1	13	0
2025 · W17	MIN	2	2	15	0
2025 · W16	PIT	0	0	0	0
2025 · W15	LA	1	0	0	1
2025 · W14	DAL	1	1	13	1
2025 · W13	GB	2	2	16	1