Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 under 1.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

7/10 under 1.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

7 quoted books: 0.5–1.5. Selected threshold is better than the median quoted line.

Historical workload

Previous five: 3 → latest five: 3 targets/game. Change: 0%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L10 is mixed: 7/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	0.5	-170	+130
FD ↗	0.5	-172	+128
CZR	0.5	-176	+133
FAN	1.5	+260	-500
DK	0.5	-185	+144
HRB	0.5	-170	+130
Novig ↗	0.5	-173	+119
PIN	0.5	-172	+128
B365	0.5	-200	—

Rec / game1.5

Targets14

Target share9%

Catch %43%

Season 2026: 6 rec · 112 yds · red-zone targets 1 (7% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	PHI	3	1	7	0
2026 · W3	DEN	8	4	93	1
2026 · W2	NYG	2	1	12	0
2026 · W1	SF	1	0	0	0
2025 · W18	ARI	1	0	0	0
2025 · W17	ATL	5	2	10	0
2025 · W16	SEA	8	3	40	0
2025 · W15	DET	1	0	0	0
2025 · W14	ARI	1	1	5	0
2025 · W13	CAR	0	0	0	0