2/5 recent hits; 2/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.
3/5 recent hits; 8/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.
Previous five: 2.4 → latest five: 8 targets/game. Change: +233.3%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 4.5 | -137 | -137 |
| B365 | 4.5 | -116 | — |
| FD ↗ | 4.5 | -114 | -114 |
| Novig ↗ | 4.5 | +104 | -113 |
| HRB | 4.5 | -115 | -115 |
| CZR ↗ | 4.5 | -113 | -117 |
| DK | 4.5 | -114 | -112 |
| MGM ↗ | 4.5 | +100 | -135 |
| FAN | 4.5 | -110 | -125 |
| PIN | 4.5 | -114 | -114 |
| Underdog ↗ | 4.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| PP ↗ | 4.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W4 | TB | 7 | 3 | 21 | 1 |
| 2026 · W3 | ATL | 12 | 5 | 100 | 1 |
| 2026 · W2 | NYJ | 6 | 4 | 58 | 0 |
| 2026 · W1 | MIN | 12 | 6 | 95 | 0 |
| 2025 · W18 | MIN | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 2025 · W17 | BAL | 3 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
| 2025 · W16 | CHI | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 · W15 | DEN | 4 | 3 | 55 | 0 |
| 2025 · W14 | CHI | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 · W11 | NYG | 3 | 1 | 24 | 0 |