No clear lean · Research notes

Over 21.5

2/5 recent hits; 3/10 across available history. Line advantage qualifies.

Under 24.5

3/5 recent hits; 7/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 10.4 → latest five: 10.8 opportunities/game. Change: +3.8%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-04	NYG	9	12	7
2026-09-27	SF	18	11	9
2026-09-20	SEA	9	10	8
2026-09-13	LAC	27	13	9
2026-01-04	LAR	29	8	7
2025-12-28	CIN	18	13	10
2025-12-21	ATL	10	8	4
2025-12-14	HOU	21	13	12
2025-12-07	LAR	27	9	5
2025-11-30	TB	20	9	8

Compare books

fanduel · Over 21.5 (-118)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 23.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanatics · Over 24.5 (+105)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Over 24.5 (-107)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 24.5 (-109)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

draftkings · Under 24.5 (-119)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

caesars · Under 24.5 (-124)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 23.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 21.5 (-112)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET