No clear lean · Research notes

Over 1.5

2/5 recent hits; 2/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 1.5

3/5 recent hits; 8/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 0 → latest five: 1.2 targets/game. Percentage change is undefined because the previous-five average is zero.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus1.5-145+110
FD ↗1.5-138+104
CZR ↗1.5-141+102
DK1.5-130+102
HRB1.5-145+110
FAN1.5-140-105
PIN1.5-148+112
B3651.5-135—
MGM ↗1.5-155+115
Novig ↗1.5-111+104
Rec / game2.5
Targets5
Target share5%
Catch %100%
Season 2026: 5 rec · 14 yds · red-zone targets 0 (0% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4MIN2201
2026 · W3KC33141
2026 · W2SF0000
2025 · W18NE1120
2025 · W17TB0000
2025 · W16CIN0000
2025 · W15PIT0000
2025 · W14NYJ0001
2025 · W13NO0000
2025 · W11WAS0001