No clear lean · Research notes

Over 35.5

2/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 36.5

3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 5.2 → latest five: 5.8 targets/game. Change: +11.5%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus35.5-137-137
FD ↗35.5-114-114
CZR35.5-118-112
FAN35.5-115-125
Novig ↗35.5-111-108
HRB36.5-115-115
DK36.5-109-115
PIN35.5-114-114
MGM ↗36.5-111-120
PP ↗36.5DFS projection · pick’em
Targets22
Target share20%
Catch %73%
Yds / rec7.6
Season 2026: 16 rec · 122 yds · red-zone targets 3 (14% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4DEN53181
2026 · W3ARI54411
2026 · W2MIA44432
2026 · W1LA85200
2025 · W18SEA76340
2025 · W17CHI64411
2025 · W16IND86292
2025 · W15TEN11141
2025 · W13CLE44211
2025 · W12CAR77531