Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 under 11.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

8/10 under 11.5; 0 pushes. L10 supports L5. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

2 quoted books: 10.5–11.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 0.2 → latest five: 2.6 targets/game. Change: +1200%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026. Workload includes games for GB and SF; team changes may affect usage.
Workload moves against this historical trend. This is context, not an eligibility exclusion.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	11.5	-115	-115
FAN	10.5	-155	+100
MGM ↗	24.5	+260	—
PIN	11.5	-114	-114
PP ↗	11.5	DFS projection · pick’em

Targets13

Target share9%

Catch %46%

Yds / rec5.8

Season 2026: 6 rec · 35 yds · red-zone targets 4 (16% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds
2026 · W4	TB	2	1	-2
2026 · W3	ATL	7	3	31
2026 · W2	NYJ	3	2	6
2026 · W1	MIN	1	0	0
2025 · W18	SEA	0	0	0
2025 · W17	CHI	0	0	0
2025 · W16	IND	1	1	23
2025 · W15	TEN	0	0	0
2025 · W13	CLE	0	0	0
2025 · W12	CAR	0	0	0