Over lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 over 13.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

7/10 over 13.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

7 quoted books: 13.5–14.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 4.2 → latest five: 4.8 opportunities/game. Change: +14.3%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L10 is mixed: 7/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-04	LAC	13	2	1
2026-09-27	WSH	19	5	4
2026-09-20	ARI	16	2	2
2026-09-10	NE	24	3	2
2026-02-08 PO	NE	23	12	6
2026-01-25 PO	LAR	13	6	4
2026-01-18 PO	SF	21	5	5
2026-01-04	SF	24	3	2
2025-12-28	CAR	6	3	1
2025-12-19	LAR	21	4	3

Compare books

betmgm · Over 13.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 13.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 13.5 (-121)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

caesars · Over 13.5 (-124)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Over 13.5 (-128)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

novig · Over 13.5 (-130)Updated Oct 9, 2:23 PM ET

fanatics · Over 14.5 (+115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 13.5 (-104)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 13.5 (-107)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

caesars · Under 13.5 (-107)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 13.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

betmgm · Under 13.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET