No clear lean · Research notes

Over 17.5

3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 17.5

2/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 2.8 → latest five: 6.4 opportunities/game. Change: +128.6%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

GameOpponentLongestTargetsCatches
2026-10-04MIN1755
2026-09-27KC30105
2026-09-20SF2354
2026-09-13LV3083
2026-01-04NE543
2025-12-28TB431
2025-12-21CIN2311
2025-12-16PIT1011
2025-12-07NYJ943
2025-11-30NO1954

Compare books

draftkings · Over 17.5 (-114)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 17.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Over 17.5 (-118)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 17.5 (-112)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 17.5 (-114)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 17.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET