No clear lean · Research notes

Over 19.5

3/5 recent hits; 8/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Under 20.5

3/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Historical workload

Previous five: 7.8 → latest five: 4.8 opportunities/game. Change: -38.5%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

GameOpponentLongestTargetsCatches
2026-10-04DEN5664
2026-09-27ARI2076
2026-09-20MIA4044
2026-09-11LAR652
2026-01-11 POPHI621
2026-01-04SEA2075
2025-12-23IND2687
2025-12-14TEN2498
2025-11-30CLE3354
2025-11-25CAR25106

Compare books

fanatics · Over 19.5 (-130)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

betmgm · Over 20.5 (-111)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 20.5 (-112)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 20.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

novig · Over 20.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:23 PM ET

caesars · Over 20.5 (-122)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Under 20.5 (-109)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 20.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 20.5 (-116)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

betmgm · Under 20.5 (-118)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET