3/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.
2/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.
Previous five: 6.4 → latest five: 7.6 targets/game. Change: +18.8%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 4.5 | -137 | -137 |
| B365 | 4.5 | +115 | — |
| FD ↗ | 4.5 | +112 | -148 |
| Novig ↗ | 4.5 | +111 | -141 |
| HRB | 4.5 | +110 | -145 |
| CZR ↗ | 4.5 | +109 | -141 |
| DK | 4.5 | +106 | -135 |
| MGM ↗ | 4.5 | +100 | -135 |
| FAN | 4.5 | +110 | -165 |
| PIN | 4.5 | +112 | -148 |
| Underdog ↗ | 4.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W4 | TB | 3 | 3 | 47 | 0 |
| 2026 · W3 | ATL | 10 | 7 | 96 | 1 |
| 2026 · W2 | NYJ | 11 | 4 | 41 | 1 |
| 2026 · W1 | MIN | 8 | 6 | 147 | 2 |
| 2025 · W17 | BAL | 6 | 5 | 113 | 1 |
| 2025 · W16 | CHI | 6 | 2 | 17 | 0 |
| 2025 · W15 | DEN | 5 | 3 | 29 | 0 |
| 2025 · W14 | CHI | 4 | 4 | 89 | 2 |
| 2025 · W13 | DET | 10 | 4 | 80 | 1 |
| 2025 · W12 | MIN | 7 | 5 | 49 | 0 |