No clear lean · Research notes

Over 12.5

2/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 15.5

3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 3.8 → latest five: 3.8 targets/game. Change: 0%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	13.5	-115	-115
FD ↗	13.5	-114	-114
DK	13.5	-115	-109
FAN	15.5	+100	-150
CZR	13.5	-121	-110
HRB	13.5	-115	-115
Novig ↗	13.5	-113	-113
PIN	13.5	-114	-114
B365	12.5	-116	-116
PP ↗	13.5	DFS projection · pick’em

Targets14

Target share8%

Catch %79%

Yds / rec4.3

Season 2026: 11 rec · 47 yds · red-zone targets 1 (4% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	ATL	7	5	35	2
2026 · W3	LV	1	1	5	0
2026 · W2	BAL	6	5	7	0
2025 · W12	ATL	2	2	4	0
2025 · W10	CAR	3	3	32	0
2025 · W9	LA	3	1	3	0
2025 · W8	TB	2	2	24	0
2025 · W7	CHI	3	3	1	0
2025 · W6	NE	5	5	45	0
2025 · W5	NYG	6	4	28	0