Over lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 over 9.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

6/10 over 9.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

4 quoted books: 9.5–9.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 3 → latest five: 4.4 opportunities/game. Change: +46.7%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

GameOpponentLongestTargetsCatches
2026-10-02PIT1276
2026-09-27CAR922
2026-09-20TB1355
2026-09-13JAX1622
2025-12-21BUF1665
2025-12-14CHI243
2025-12-07TEN5831
2025-11-30SF1333
2025-11-16BAL020
2025-11-09NYJ932

Compare books

hardrockbet · Over 9.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Over 9.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:23 PM ET

caesars · Over 9.5 (-124)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 9.5 (-130)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

draftkings · Under 9.5 (+100)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

caesars · Under 9.5 (-107)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 9.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 9.5 (-122)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET