Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 under 17.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

7/10 under 17.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

3 quoted books: 16.5–17.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 5.6 → latest five: 4.8 opportunities/game. Change: -14.3%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L10 is mixed: 7/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-09-20	TEN	4	3	1
2026-09-13	WSH	43	5	4
2026-01-11 PO	SF	15	7	4
2025-12-28	BUF	4	6	3
2025-12-20	WSH	15	3	3
2025-12-14	LV	32	7	6
2025-12-09	LAC	16	10	8
2025-11-28	CHI	22	4	2
2025-11-23	DAL	13	2	2
2025-11-17	DET	17	5	2

Compare books

betmgm · Over 16.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Over 17.5 (-106)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 17.5 (-109)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

draftkings · Under 17.5 (-119)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

fanduel · Under 17.5 (-125)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

betmgm · Under 16.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET