No clear lean · Research notes

Over 1.5

4/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. Line advantage qualifies. Workload supports this side.

Under 2.5

4/5 recent hits; 9/10 across available history. Line advantage qualifies. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 1 → latest five: 2.4 targets/game. Change: +140%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026. Workload includes games for ARI and ATL; team changes may affect usage.
Both sides qualify at different lines.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	1.5	-166	+128
B365	2.5	+140	—
FD ↗	2.5	+162	-220
HRB	1.5	-145	+110
CZR ↗	1.5	-164	—
DK	1.5	-164	+128
FAN	1.5	-180	+115
PIN	2.5	+154	-210
Novig ↗	2.5	+182	-213
Underdog ↗	3.5	DFS projection · pick’em

Rec / game2.5

Targets10

Target share7%

Catch %100%

Season 2026: 10 rec · 35 yds · red-zone targets 2 (7% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	NYG	2	2	7	1
2026 · W3	SF	4	4	10	0
2026 · W2	SEA	2	2	9	0
2026 · W1	LAC	2	2	9	0
2025 · W18	NO	2	1	3	0
2025 · W17	LA	0	0	0	0
2025 · W16	ARI	1	1	-6	0
2025 · W15	TB	0	0	0	0
2025 · W14	SEA	2	2	33	0
2025 · W13	NYJ	2	2	35	1