No clear lean · Research notes

Over 1.5

3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 2.6 → latest five: 1.8 targets/game. Change: -30.8%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus1.5——
B3651.5+170—
Underdog ↗0.5DFS projection · pick’em
Rec / game2.5
Targets5
Target share3%
Catch %100%
Season 2026: 5 rec · 39 yds · red-zone targets 1 (4% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4NYG22191
2026 · W3SF33200
2026 · W2SEA0000
2025 · W18LA33280
2025 · W17CIN1000
2025 · W16ATL87910
2025 · W15HOU2130
2025 · W14LA1100
2025 · W13TB22170
2025 · W12JAX0000