3/5 recent hits; 8/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.
3/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. Line advantage qualifies. Workload supports this side.
Previous five: 5 → latest five: 3.8 targets/game. Change: -24%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 1.5 | -180 | +135 |
| FD ↗ | 1.5 | -180 | +134 |
| CZR ↗ | 2.5 | +162 | -218 |
| FAN | 1.5 | -205 | +130 |
| DK | 1.5 | -183 | +143 |
| HRB | 1.5 | -180 | +135 |
| Novig ↗ | 1.5 | -167 | +141 |
| PIN | 1.5 | -175 | +131 |
| B365 | 1.5 | -222 | — |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W3 | DEN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 · W2 | NYG | 2 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
| 2026 · W1 | SF | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 2025 · W18 | ARI | 7 | 4 | 36 | 2 |
| 2025 · W17 | ATL | 7 | 6 | 53 | 0 |
| 2025 · W16 | SEA | 4 | 2 | 21 | 0 |
| 2025 · W15 | DET | 7 | 5 | 75 | 2 |
| 2025 · W14 | ARI | 5 | 3 | 32 | 1 |
| 2025 · W13 | CAR | 5 | 4 | 27 | 0 |
| 2025 · W12 | TB | 4 | 4 | 41 | 1 |