No clear lean · Research notes

Over 1.5

3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 1.5

2/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 1.4 → latest five: 2.6 targets/game. Change: +85.7%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	1.5	-140	+110
FD ↗	1.5	-138	+104
Novig ↗	1.5	-130	+122
CZR ↗	1.5	-141	+109
DK	1.5	-157	+123
B365	1.5	-125	—
HRB	1.5	-140	+110
FAN	1.5	-140	-105
PIN	1.5	-138	+104

Rec / game2.0

Targets12

Target share9%

Catch %67%

Season 2026: 8 rec · 186 yds · red-zone targets 0 (0% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	DAL	3	3	85	0
2026 · W3	IND	2	2	17	0
2026 · W2	CIN	5	1	31	0
2026 · W1	BUF	2	2	53	0
2025 · W18	IND	1	1	13	0
2025 · W17	LAC	4	3	54	1
2025 · W16	LV	0	0	0	0
2025 · W15	ARI	0	0	0	0
2025 · W14	KC	2	2	12	0
2025 · W13	IND	1	0	0	0