Over lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 over 13.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

8/10 over 13.5; 0 pushes. L10 supports L5. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

4 quoted books: 13.5–14.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 2.8 → latest five: 5.2 opportunities/game. Change: +85.7%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026. Workload includes games for CHI and DET; team changes may affect usage.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-04	NYJ	5	2	2
2026-09-29	PHI	41	7	6
2026-09-20	MIN	16	5	5
2026-09-13	CAR	28	9	8
2026-01-04	CHI	24	3	3
2025-12-25	MIN	5	2	1
2025-12-21	PIT	27	5	4
2025-12-14	LAR	20	1	1
2025-11-23	NYG	30	2	2
2025-11-09	WSH	18	4	4

Compare books

fanduel · Over 13.5 (-122)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 13.5 (-123)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

caesars · Over 13.5 (-130)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 14.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 14.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Under 13.5 (-103)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 13.5 (-105)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

fanduel · Under 13.5 (-106)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET