Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 under 2.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

8/10 under 2.5; 0 pushes. L10 supports L5. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

6 quoted books: 2.5–2.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 2.4 → latest five: 2.6 targets/game. Change: +8.3%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus2.5-137-137
FD ↗2.5-106-125
CZR ↗2.5+106-130
DK2.5+114-146
Novig ↗2.5-106-113
HRB2.5+105-130
PIN2.5+103-136
Underdog ↗2.5DFS projection · pick’em
Rec / game2.5
Targets11
Target share9%
Catch %91%
Season 2026: 10 rec · 84 yds · red-zone targets 1 (4% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4NYJ22160
2026 · W3PHI3240
2026 · W2MIN55540
2026 · W1CAR11103
2025 · W18DET2180
2025 · W17SF32252
2025 · W16GB22120
2025 · W15CLE11-22
2025 · W14GB43190
2025 · W13PHI21131