No clear lean · Research notes

Over 2.5

2/5 recent hits; 2/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 2.5

3/5 recent hits; 8/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 1.2 → latest five: 3 targets/game. Change: +150%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines

Book	Line	Over	Under
Consensus	2.5	—	—
FD ↗	2.5	-138	+104
Novig ↗	2.5	-150	-104

Rec / game2.5

Targets10

Target share9%

Catch %50%

Season 2026: 5 rec · 59 yds · red-zone targets 4 (31% of team)

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026

Wk	Opp	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	TDs
2026 · W4	LA	7	3	33	2
2026 · W3	CHI	0	0	0	0
2026 · W2	TEN	3	2	26	1
2026 · W1	WAS	0	0	0	0
2025 · W18	WAS	5	3	33	0
2025 · W17	BUF	1	1	4	0
2025 · W15	LV	2	2	29	0
2025 · W14	LAC	1	1	19	0
2025 · W12	DAL	2	2	7	0
2025 · W11	DET	0	0	0	0