Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 under 1.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

4/10 under 1.5; 0 pushes. L10 conflicts with L5. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

8 quoted books: 1.5–1.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 5.2 → latest five: 1.8 targets/game. Change: -65.4%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus1.5-116-110
FD ↗1.5-114-114
Novig ↗1.5-111+100
HRB1.5-115-115
CZR ↗1.5-115-107
DK1.5-116-110
B3651.5-116—
FAN1.5-105-140
PIN1.5-119-111
MGM ↗1.5-135+100
PP ↗1.5DFS projection · pick’em
Underdog ↗1.5DFS projection · pick’em
Rec / game0.7
Targets4
Target share3%
Catch %50%
Season 2026: 2 rec · 48 yds · red-zone targets 1 (5% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W3LA11210
2026 · W2JAX21270
2026 · W1KC1000
2025 · W18LAC1000
2025 · W17KC44170
2025 · W16JAX54660
2025 · W15GB66851
2025 · W14LV43110
2025 · W13WAS32210
2025 · W11KC84840