2/5 recent hits; 3/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.
3/5 recent hits; 7/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.
Previous five: 3.8 → latest five: 4.4 targets/game. Change: +15.8%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 4.5 | +125 | -160 |
| FD ↗ | 4.5 | +124 | -166 |
| Novig ↗ | 4.5 | +130 | -135 |
| CZR ↗ | 4.5 | +128 | -150 |
| HRB | 4.5 | +125 | -160 |
| PIN | 4.5 | +108 | -143 |
| DK | 4.5 | +125 | -160 |
| MGM ↗ | 4.5 | +125 | -165 |
| FAN | 4.5 | +120 | -185 |
| PP ↗ | 4 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W4 | NE | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 2026 · W3 | LAC | 3 | 2 | 38 | 0 |
| 2026 · W2 | DET | 8 | 7 | 95 | 1 |
| 2026 · W1 | HOU | 6 | 5 | 130 | 0 |
| 2025 · W18 | NYJ | 3 | 3 | 48 | 0 |
| 2025 · W16 | CLE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 · W15 | NE | 4 | 3 | 34 | 0 |
| 2025 · W14 | CIN | 5 | 4 | 41 | 1 |
| 2025 · W10 | MIA | 3 | 2 | 37 | 0 |
| 2025 · W9 | KC | 6 | 6 | 101 | 1 |