Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 under 49.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

9/10 under 49.5; 0 pushes. L10 supports L5. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

8 quoted books: 45.5–49.5. Selected threshold is better than the median quoted line.

Historical workload

Previous five: 6 → latest five: 7 targets/game. Change: +16.7%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus46.5-120-110
B36549.5-116-116
FD ↗46.5-114-114
Novig ↗46.5-102-115
FAN45.5-115-135
CZR46.5-105-127
DK46.5-115-109
HRB46.5-115—
PIN48.5+106-140
MGM ↗46.5-115-115
PP ↗48.5DFS projection · pick’em
Targets27
Target share22%
Catch %85%
Yds / rec5.7
Season 2026: 23 rec · 130 yds · red-zone targets 3 (21% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4WAS55410
2026 · W3HOU109550
2026 · W2KC76211
2026 · W1BAL53131
2025 · W18HOU85260
2025 · W17JAX55430
2025 · W16SF93300
2025 · W15SEA63190
2025 · W14JAX62150
2025 · W13HOU43221