No clear lean · Research notes

Over 19.5

3/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 19.5

2/5 recent hits; 5/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Historical workload

Previous five: 2.8 → latest five: 5 opportunities/game. Change: +78.6%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

GameOpponentLongestTargetsCatches
2026-10-02CLE4963
2026-09-27CIN3863
2026-09-20NE965
2026-09-13ATL2063
2025-11-30BUF010
2025-11-23CHI020
2025-11-16CIN1721
2025-11-10LAC2732
2025-11-02IND421
2025-10-27GB4554

Compare books

hardrockbet · Over 19.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Over 19.5 (-125)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 19.5 (-126)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

fanduel · Over 19.5 (-130)Updated Oct 9, 2:23 PM ET

fanatics · Over 19.5 (-130)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

novig · Under 19.5 (+115)Updated Oct 9, 2:23 PM ET

draftkings · Under 19.5 (-103)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

caesars · Under 19.5 (-108)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 19.5 (-112)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 19.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET