No clear lean · Research notes

Over 17.5

3/5 recent hits; 7/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Under 20.5

2/5 recent hits; 3/10 across available history. Line advantage qualifies.

Historical workload

Previous five: 3.2 → latest five: 3.6 targets/game. Change: +12.5%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus17.5-109-115
FD ↗17.5-114-114
Novig ↗17.5-113-113
DK18.5-109-115
FAN20.5+100-150
CZR17.5-118-112
PP ↗17.5DFS projection · pick’em
Underdog ↗20.5DFS projection · pick’em
Targets16
Target share14%
Catch %75%
Yds / rec7.5
Season 2026: 12 rec · 90 yds · red-zone targets 1 (7% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4BUF53271
2026 · W3JAX33160
2026 · W2PIT2130
2026 · W1SEA65440
2025 · W18MIA22223
2025 · W17NYJ55552
2025 · W16BAL32271
2025 · W15BUF33270
2025 · W13NYG33400
2025 · W12CIN2150