No clear lean · Research notes

Over 18.5

3/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Under 18.5

2/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 6.4 → latest five: 6.4 opportunities/game. Change: 0%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L5 below 4/5 on available quoted sides.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-04	NE	51	8	7
2026-09-27	LAC	6	3	1
2026-09-18	DET	16	6	3
2026-09-13	HOU	19	6	4
2026-01-17 PO	DEN	46	9	7
2026-01-11 PO	JAX	18	12	12
2025-12-28	PHI	13	7	6
2025-12-21	CLE	18	5	4
2025-12-14	NE	37	5	5
2025-12-07	CIN	11	3	2

Compare books

fanduel · Over 18.5 (-106)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 18.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 18.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Over 18.5 (-121)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanatics · Over 19.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

caesars · Under 18.5 (-109)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 18.5 (-113)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 18.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 18.5 (-125)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET