Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 under 23.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

6/10 under 23.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

3 quoted books: 22.5–23.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 8.2 → latest five: 6.6 opportunities/game. Change: -19.5%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Confirm injuries, lineup and role before acting. Opponent adjustments are not included.
Workload spans 2025–2026.
L10 is mixed: 6/10 historical hits. Review the longer sample before acting.

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

Game	Opponent	Longest	Targets	Catches
2026-10-05	CAR	49	8	6
2026-09-27	NYJ	21	4	4
2026-09-18	BUF	17	4	2
2026-09-13	NO	22	9	4
2026-01-04	CHI	23	8	6
2025-12-25	MIN	22	3	2
2025-12-21	PIT	21	9	5
2025-12-14	LAR	31	10	7
2025-12-05	DAL	29	9	7
2025-11-27	GB	44	10	7

Compare books

hardrockbet · Over 22.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Over 23.5 (-106)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

caesars · Over 23.5 (-109)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanatics · Over 24.5 (+115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 23.5 (-122)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

caesars · Under 23.5 (-122)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 22.5 (-115)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET