No clear lean · Research notes

Over 25.5

3/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.

Under 26.5

2/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.

Historical workload

Previous five: 8.2 → latest five: 6.8 opportunities/game. Change: -17.1%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

History: qualifying longest-play games; current and previous seasons may be included. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

GameOpponentLongestTargetsCatches
2026-10-06NO3765
2026-09-25GB68109
2026-09-20CAR1754
2026-09-13PIT2152
2026-01-04NO3784
2025-12-30LAR421
2025-12-21ARI1283
2025-11-16CAR4197
2025-11-09IND3086
2025-11-02NE40149

Compare books

draftkings · Over 25.5 (-118)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Over 25.5 (-120)Updated Oct 9, 2:25 PM ET

fanduel · Over 26.5 (-114)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

fanduel · Under 26.5 (-114)Updated Oct 9, 2:24 PM ET

draftkings · Under 25.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:22 PM ET

hardrockbet · Under 25.5 (-110)Updated Oct 9, 2:25 PM ET