Under lean · Research notes

Recent results

4/5 under 35.5; 0 pushes in five (not hits).

Longer history

6/10 under 35.5; 0 pushes. L10 is mixed. This context does not determine eligibility.

Available lines

8 quoted books: 34.5–35.5. No qualifying line advantage.

Historical workload

Previous five: 7.6 → latest five: 2.8 targets/game. Change: -63.2%.

Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.

Before considering this prop

Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.

All posted lines
BookLineOverUnder
Consensus34.5-110-114
FD ↗34.5-114-114
FAN35.5-110-140
Novig ↗34.5+104-108
CZR34.5-115-113
DK34.5-110-114
HRB34.5-115-115
MGM ↗34.5-115-115
PIN34.5-118-112
PP ↗32.5DFS projection · pick’em
Underdog ↗34.5DFS projection · pick’em
Targets13
Target share9%
Catch %39%
Yds / rec17.0
Season 2026: 5 rec · 85 yds · red-zone targets 2 (7% of team)
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026
WkOppTgtRecRec YdsTDs
2026 · W4NYG41121
2026 · W3SF53400
2026 · W2SEA1000
2026 · W1LAC31330
2025 · W17CIN1000
2025 · W16ATL31140
2025 · W13TB76690
2025 · W10SEA123331
2025 · W9DAL107961
2025 · W7GB62580