2/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.
3/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload supports this side.
Previous five: 8.4 → latest five: 3.6 targets/game. Change: -57.1%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 2.5 | +116 | -148 |
| FD ↗ | 2.5 | +102 | -136 |
| Novig ↗ | 2.5 | +113 | -125 |
| HRB | 2.5 | +105 | -135 |
| B365 | 2.5 | +110 | — |
| CZR ↗ | 2.5 | +106 | -139 |
| DK | 2.5 | +116 | -148 |
| PIN | 2.5 | +102 | -135 |
| MGM ↗ | 2.5 | +100 | -135 |
| FAN | 2.5 | +105 | -165 |
| CIR | 2.5 | +110 | -130 |
| Underdog ↗ | 1.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W4 | NO | 3 | 3 | 47 | 0 |
| 2026 · W3 | GB | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 2026 · W2 | CAR | 3 | 1 | 15 | 0 |
| 2026 · W1 | PIT | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 · W18 | NO | 9 | 6 | 58 | 0 |
| 2025 · W17 | LA | 3 | 2 | 16 | 0 |
| 2025 · W16 | ARI | 9 | 7 | 57 | 1 |
| 2025 · W15 | TB | 12 | 11 | 166 | 3 |
| 2025 · W14 | SEA | 10 | 6 | 90 | 0 |
| 2025 · W13 | NYJ | 8 | 7 | 82 | 0 |