2/5 recent hits; 6/10 across available history. No qualifying line advantage. Workload moves against this historical trend.
3/5 recent hits; 4/10 across available history. Line advantage qualifies. Workload supports this side.
Previous five: 8.2 → latest five: 6.6 targets/game. Change: -19.5%.
Feed snapshot: Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET. Research applies to the quoted threshold and price.
Last 10 qualifying regular-season games · 2025–2026. Season totals are separate. Historical hit rates are not forecast probabilities. No calculated edge or stake recommendation.
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 51.5 | -115 | -115 |
| FD ↗ | 51.5 | -114 | -114 |
| Novig ↗ | 51.5 | -122 | +115 |
| HRB | 52.5 | -115 | -115 |
| FAN | 50.5 | -125 | -115 |
| CZR | 52.5 | -112 | -117 |
| DK | 54.5 | -111 | -113 |
| PIN | 51.5 | -123 | -108 |
| CIR | 51.5 | -110 | -110 |
| PP ↗ | 51.5 | DFS projection · pick’em | |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · W4 | CAR | 8 | 6 | 102 | 0 |
| 2026 · W3 | NYJ | 4 | 4 | 49 | 0 |
| 2026 · W2 | BUF | 4 | 2 | 33 | 0 |
| 2026 · W1 | NO | 9 | 4 | 45 | 0 |
| 2025 · W18 | CHI | 8 | 6 | 74 | 0 |
| 2025 · W17 | MIN | 3 | 2 | 37 | 0 |
| 2025 · W16 | PIT | 9 | 5 | 70 | 0 |
| 2025 · W15 | LA | 10 | 7 | 134 | 1 |
| 2025 · W14 | DAL | 9 | 7 | 96 | 0 |
| 2025 · W13 | GB | 10 | 7 | 144 | 1 |